Coming back home for this fourth of July weekend, the Cardinals open a three game set against the Miami Marlins. The Cards are more than likely thankful to be back home after a 10 game road trip out west where they went 5-5 against three pretty good teams.
The Pitching Matchup: Lance Lynn (8-6, 3.38 ERA) looks to rebound from his last start in which he only lasted 2 innings and gave up 7 runs. Lynn did have a blister on his middle finger affecting his performance though, so it can be reasonably assumed that his last start was just an anomaly. Overall, Lynn has been all over the map this season, showing flashes of brilliance followed by train wrecks of epic proportions. So far, Lynn is following an impressive month of May where he went 2-1 with no home runs allowed with a disastrous month of June in which he has gone 2-4 with a 3.90 ERA.
Nathan Eovaldi (5-3, 3.71 ERA) is starting for the Marlins and looks to continue his surprisingly decent season. Eovaldi broke into the Majors in 2011 with the Dodgers and then pitched his first full season in 2012. That season turned out to be a disaster as Eovaldi went 4-13 with 4.30 ERA. The past two seasons Eovaldi has been with this Marlins organization and has turned in mixed results. His ERA tends to sit in the mid-3’s and he will give up the long ball occasionally, but he has drastically cut down on his walk rate and has seen better results because of it. Eovaldi has started against the Cards twice before in his career but has failed to record a decision with a 3.21 ERA.
The Skinny: Neither of these pitchers look especially strong coming into this game, but the Cards should have the upper-hand with relative novice Eovaldi on the mound. If Lynn’s blistered finger holds up for 5 or 6 innings, this game should decidedly swing in the Cardinals’ favor.