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Today’s Pitching Matchup: Adam Wainwright vs. Paul Maholm

Before you read the matchup, check out this great article by our own Steve Hirsch.  It’s pertinent.  Without further ado, the matchup:

St. Louis Cardinals: Adam Wainwright (8-10; 4.31 ERA)

Twas a salty start against the Dodgers in his last go-around, and the Cards will need more of the same if they want to take the rubber match in an always fun Cards-Cubs series.  Unfortunately, there is this statistic: the Cubs roster that is taking the field tomorrow has hit .310 off of Wainwright over their careers.  Further, he’s faced the Cubbies twice this year, and has gone just 9 total innings while allowing a stunningly poor 9 ER.  All signs would point to this not being the most quality of starts for Waino, but if he can keep up his recent trend, maybe he can turn things around.

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Chicago Cubs: Paul Maholm (9-6; 3.88 ERA)

Check this out for size: in Maholm‘s last six appearances (5 starts) the Cubs are 6-0, Maholm has gone 38.1 innings, and has allowed just 4 ER.  Just to make sure that you understand that, I’ll repeat and condense to just starts: 5 starts, 5 wins, 37.1 innings, and just FOUR EARNED RUNS.  On top of that, he’s only walked 4 guys in those 38.1 innings, and has struck out roughly 5 times that many — a terrific ratio.  In short, Paul Maholm has been spectacular (possibly the best pitcher in the game) since June 29th.  The Cardinals bats will need to step up in a big way if they want to take the series.

THE SKINNY: I think Maholm’s stat line says it all.  Wainwright is completely overmatched here, and the only way the Cards can win is if the bats can solve a pitcher many other people have had immense trouble with.

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